Tuesday, August 3, 2010

10 Day Forecast

Every so often I have an event on the horizon for which the weather will matter.  Accordingly, I will go to Weather.com and check out the forecast.  They have a “10 Day Forecast” option, which I consult as soon as the event lands within that range.

The question, however, is just how much one can tell from such a long-range forecast.  If it tells me a week-and-a-half out that the weather is going to be perfect, shall I count on that?

With that in mind, we turn our attention to the first of Don Banks’ weekly “Power Rankings” on SI.com.  Power Rankings

Interestingly, Banks puts the New York Jets at #1.  I’m not unwilling to believe that they’ll be very good, but it is hard for me to imagine that they’ll actually be better than, say, the Colts, Saints, Vikings, or Cowboys. 

Meanwhile, Banks places the Packers at #5.  That’s an encouraging estimate, and perhaps especially so because he has ranked us higher than every other team in the NFC North.  And, perhaps even more significantly, he has us as the #2 team in the entire NFC (after the defending champion Saints). 

As I mentioned in an earlier post, all that one can do before they start playing the games is hope, and what Don Banks is saying is hopeful, indeed.  For myself, however, I am feeling more cautious.  A team that was so effectively thrown on by the Vikings and Cardinals, and one that was historically poor at protecting the QB, cannot possibly be the second-best team in the Conference.

Still, in July it’s all still just the NFL’s version of a 10-day forecast.  So even if the forecast is perfect, I won’t count on it. 

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